Although it has been very difficult to prevent the economic future, it is rare that the views have been shared today. There are proponents of growth and of the severe crisis – but among them there is also a strong opposition against inflation deflation … Let us summarizes the three possible scenarios following the subprime crisis:
1. A pause in growth and a return to the status quo from 2009, ie growth with moderate inflation. The shares would behave again on the rise from 2009 in this case. Gold (supported by demand – jewelry-emerging …) and long-term bonds should remain fairly stable.
2. A bout of inflation without growth – stagflation – the subprime crisis would force central banks to turn over the printing announced (if not already …) for catastrophic long-term obligations, not so good for equities , gold is by far the best investment and as the ultimate safe haven, it might even maintain an ultimate bubble.
3. A deflationary crisis: catastrophic for the actions, good behavior of long-term obligations (and who would win the cash value), not good for the debt, and gold is being debated, but should at the very least maintain its purchasing power and significantly outperform the best.
My conclusion in these troubled times of visibility is now having a dedicated part of its portfolio to 10% to 15% gold is perhaps not silly at all. For it is the asset that has the best chance to get out honorably. This is to complete the article I wrote about this precious yellow metal, seen by some as an investment in a “barbarous relic”, but which is nonetheless the only currency that has survived through the centuries. Because unlike fiat currencies, gold is available in limited quantities on the surface of the earth.
Of course by adopting a comprehensive strategy for its portfolio investments.